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Thailand’s financial system more vulnerable, says BoT

BOT预计将在旅游业增长加快的情况下加息

曼谷(NNT) - 泰国央行(BOT)预计将于周三(1月25日)加息25个基点,以遏制通胀上升,即使中国重新开放使经济前景更加光明,也可能进一步加息。 虽然东南亚第二大经济体的价格压力一直在降温,但12月的通胀率仍为5.89%,远高于央行1-3%的目标。 BOT将其基准提高至1.50% 路透社调查的23位经济学家中有21位预计BOT将在1月25日将其基准单日回购利率上调25个基点(bps)至1.50%。 其余两个预测没有变化。 泰国预计今年将有2500万外国游客 泰国是亚洲最受欢迎的旅游目的地之一,预计今年将接待至少500万中国游客和 2500万外国游客 ,为受全球疫情严重影响的经济提供急需的推动力。 预计2023年泰国经济将增长3.7-3.8% 民意调查显示,泰国经济预计今明两年将分别增长3.7-3.8%,符合政府预测。 近70%的受访者(即22人中的15人)预计到3月底将再次加息25个基点至1.75%。 六人预测届时利率为1.5%,一人表示仍将为1.25%。 民意调查中位数显示,央行随后将把借贷成本再提高25个基点,到9月底将利率提高到2%。 民意调查中位数显示,今年平均通胀率为2.8%,然后在2024年降至1.9%。 信息和来源 记者 : ...

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