Thailand's Exports Rise for Sixth Straight Month in January 2024

Thailand’s customs-cleared exports have continued their upward trajectory, rising for the sixth consecutive month in January 2024.

The annual growth rate reached 10%, surpassing expectations and outperforming a Reuters poll forecast of 8.8%. This positive trend follows December’s already notable 4.7% increase.

Key Highlights

Strong Export Performance: Thailand’s export sector has shown resilience despite global economic challenges. The reading of a 10% annual increase surpassed the 8.8% forecast from a Reuters poll, signaling robust demand for Thai goods in international markets.
Imports and Trade Balance: While exports surged, imports also saw growth, rising by 2.6% compared to the previous year. However, this beat expectations of a 3.1% decline. Despite the positive export figures, Thailand posted a trade deficit of $2.76 billion in January, exceeding the forecasted $1.54 billion deficit.
Rice Exports Shine: Notably, rice export volumes rose significantly by 17.6% annually in January. Thailand, as the world’s second-largest shipper of rice, continues to play a crucial role in global food supply chains.
Targeted Growth: Overall, Thailand aims for export growth of 1%-2% this year. Achieving this target may prove challenging given last year’s 1% drop in shipments.

Challenges Ahead: While the export outlook for 2024 remains positive due to factors such as global economic recovery and demand for food security measures, challenges persist. The Bank of Thailand (BoT) has cautioned that Thailand’s export sector has lost competitiveness over the past two decades, particularly in rice shipments where market share has declined by more than 50%.